Fuels Market Watch 24
Exclusive daily fuels market analysis by Dr. Nancy Yamaguchi.
FUEL MARKETS TODAY – Market Overview
Crude oil futures prices sank dramatically this morning, apparently reacting to a tweet from President Trump warning that oil prices were “getting too high.” WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude forward prices opened at $57.17/b today, up by $0.33 (0.58%) from Friday’s opening price of $56.84/b. However, WTI prices plunged below the $56/b level in today’s early trading. Gasoline and diesel futures prices opened lower today, and they also collapsed in early trading. President Trump’s tweet urged “OPEC, please relax and take it easy.” There has been no concrete action from the U.S., but investors immediately backed away from oil futures, and prices tanked. Markets today will be deciding whether the price drop is a blip, or whether it is a downward correction that will be sustained.
Crude oil and refined prices ended last week in the black once again. WTI crude prices opened on Tuesday, February 19th (Monday was President’s day,) at $55.78/b and closed Friday at $57.26/b, up by $1.48 (2.7%) for the week. Gasoline prices opened on Tuesday at $1.5728/gallon and closed on Friday at $1.6112, up by 3.84 cents (2.4%) for the week. Diesel prices opened on Tuesday at $2.0214/gallon and closed on Friday at $2.0311/gallon, up by 0.97 cents (0.5%) for the week. It was the first time that diesel forward prices had opened and closed a week above $2/gallon since the second week of November. President Trump’s statements about oil prices being “too high” has eroded some of the gains, but without any concrete action, it is not yet possible to discern whether the market will adopt the downturn as a price correction, or whether it will be more of a blip in today’s prices.
Friday’s meeting between China’s top negotiator, Vice Premier Liu He, and President Donald Trump resulted in a delay of the March 1st deadline for a planned increase in U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods. Trump had planned to raise tariffs to 25% from 10% on approximately $200 billion worth of Chinese imports. This is being interpreted as a sign than the two countries are getting close to striking a deal. However, it also is a sign that China was not willing to concede to all U.S. demands during the Friday meeting. President Trump is now proposing a summit between himself and Chinese President Xi Jinping at his “Mar-a-Lago” property in Florida. The Chinese stock market has reacted more favorably than the U.S. stock market.
GASOLINE
Gasoline opened on the NYMEX at $1.5971/gallon today, down by 1.29 cents (0.79%) from Friday’s opening price of $1.61 cents/gallon. Prices last week were the highest since mid-November. Gasoline futures markets followed crude down this morning. Over the past 24 hours from 9AM EST to 9AM EST, gasoline prices dropped by 4.97 cents (3.06%.) Gasoline forward prices currently are volatile, falling from highs of over $1.61/gallon to lows of $1.57/gallon, but prices appear to be stabilizing after the plunge. The latest price is $1.5796/gallon.
DIESEL
Diesel opened on the NYMEX at $2.0282/gallon today, down slightly by 0.4 cents (0.2%) from Friday’s opening price of $2.0322/gallon. Until last week, diesel forward prices had not been steadily above the $2/gallon level since mid-November. Diesel futures markets followed crude down this morning, dipping below $2/gallon, but recovering. Over the past 24 hours from 9AM EST to 9AM EST, diesel prices dropped by 4.48 cents (2.19%.) Diesel prices currently have reclaimed the $2/gallon level, trading in the range of $2.00-$2.01/gallon. The latest price is $2.0065/gallon.
WEST TEXAS INTERMEDIATE
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) crude forward prices opened at $57.17/b today, up by $0.33 (0.58%) from Friday’s opening price of $56.84/b. Prices hit highs of over $57.50/b before plunging this morning, falling below $56/b. Over the past 24 hours from 9AM EST to 9AM EST, WTI crude prices dropped by $1.80 (3.12%.) Currently, crude prices are working to stabilize, trading in the range of $56.00/b-$56.50/b. The latest price is $56.27/b.





